Oil and the World Economy

Oil and the World Economy

Some Possible Futures

eBook - 2012
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"This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But for larger shocks, for elasticities of substitution that decline as oil usage is reduced to a minimum, and for production functions in which oil acts as a critical enabler of technologies, GDP growth could drop significantly. Also, oil prices could become so high that smooth adjustment, as assumed in the model, may become very difficult."--Abstract.
Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, Research Dept., 2012
ISBN: 9781475539974
1475539975
Characteristics: 1 online resource (31 pages)

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